| 기후변화 적응지원을 위한 미래전망 연구 - 국립기상과학원 연구사례를 중심으로 - | |
| A study on the future projections for climate change adaptation in Korea - Focusing on research reports from NIMS - | |
| 성현민**･ 김진욱**･ 이재희* ･ 김민해* ･ 심성보**･ 정주용***･ 변영화***† | |
| Sung, Hyun Min* Kim, Jin-Uk* Lee, Jae-Hee** Kim, Min-Hae** Shim, Sungbo* Chung, Chu-Yong*** and Byun, Young-Hwa***† | |
| Climate change on the Korea in the last 10 years (2011 ~ 2020) has been greater than that of the last 30 years (1991 ~ 2020). Against this background, our society continues to make efforts to reduce green house gas emissions (mitigation), and the importance of adapting to climate change has also been emphasized in recent years. The scientific information of climate change should be the basis for effective adaptation efforts. Considering this, the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences provides climate change scenarios and future climate information to support scientific evidence for establishing local government’s climate change adaptation policies. The projected changes of temperature and precipitation in the long-term future period relative to present-day period in CMIP6 scenarios are expected to increase by approximately 1.3 times more than in the CMIP5 scenarios. This means that the evidence indicating the recent acceleration of climate change may be said to be a preview of future unimaginable climate change risks. Additionally, the timing of 2.0 degree global warming level is projected to reach around 2030 ~ 2040 period using 21-year moving average temperature from CMIP6 scenarios. In the 2.0 degree global warming level, the increase amount of extreme climates will be larger than that of mean climatology, and the summer season is expected to be approximately 3 weeks longer compared to present-day climatology. The importance of adapting to climate change in our society is gradually being felt. The results of this study is expected to be used as scientific basis for responding to the climate crisis. | |
| Climate changes, Climate change adaptation, Global warming level, Climate risk, Future projeciton | |
 140602-03.pdf | |
| 2093-5919 | |
| 2586-2782 | |
| 2023-12 |
