(사)한국기후변화학회

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The Korean Society of Climate Change Research
최근 우리나라 도시 인구 변화에 따른 도시화 효과 특성
Characteristics of Urbanization Effects due to Recent Urban Population Changes in South Korea
김진욱*† , 변영화** , 김진원*** , 김연희****
Kim, Jin-Uk*† , Byun, Young-Hwa** , Kim, Jin-Won*** , Kim, Yeon-Hee****
Recently, population growth has been slowing down in metropolitan cities in South Korea. In this study, we analyzed
urbanization effects that reflect the characteristics of recent population growth trends using four different methods. In South
Korea, the urbanization effect has recently become weaker. The urbanization effect in South Korea was 24 ~ 49% in the last
48 years (1973 ~ 2020). Similarly, for certain spans of 32 years (1973 ~ 2004) and 24 years (1973 ~ 1996), the urbanization
effect values were 30 ~ 64% and 42 ~ 73%, respectively. The recent decline in urbanization effect compared to the early 2000s
is related to the decreasing urban population growth. The population growths in the second half of the previous 48 years were
only about 14% in big cities and about 50% in small cities compared to the first half. As a result, the urbanization effect in
small cities has actually been higher than in big cities. Cluster analysis was also conducted to analyze the relationship between
population growth and annual-mean temperature increase in 30 different stations. As a result, temperature increase in more than
60% of the stations considered matched the population growth. Some urban stations have smaller temperature increases than
population growth, while some rural stations have higher temperature increases than population growth. Therefore, further
research on local environmental factors should be carried out to better understand these local temperature changes.
Urbanization Effect, South Korea, Population Growth
확장자는pdf1206-03.pdf
2093-5919
2586-2782
2021-12