(사)한국기후변화학회

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The Korean Society of Climate Change Research
4개 국가 CDM 사업의 온실가스 감축비용 비교 분석 - 칠레, 페루, 베트남, 말레이시아
Comparison of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emission Abatement Cost of Clean Development
Mechanism (CDM) Activities in Four Countries Chile, Peru, Vietnam, and Malaysia
노동운*† , 손인성** , 임정민*** , 김수인****
Noh, Dong-Woon*† , Son, Insung** , Lim, Jungmin*** , Kim, Sooin****
Estimation of the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission abatement cost of clean development mechanism (CDM) projects is essential
for forecasting the abatement cost of the cooperative approach (Article 6.2) and the sustainable mechanism (Article 6.4) of the Paris
Agreement. The purpose of this paper is to compare the GHG emission abatement cost of CDM projects among four countries using
the abatement cost information each country. The average abatement cost was $9.65/tCO2 (2020 price) for all types of CDM projects
across the four countries. The abatement cost of methane avoidance projects was the lowest ($4.75/tCO2), followed by LFG
($6.49/tCO2), small hydro ($7.67/tCO2), biomass ($9.36/tCO2), energy efficiency ($10.02/tCO2), PV ($10.82/tCO2), fuel switch
($10.92/tCO2), and wind ($18.27/tCO2). There were economies of scale for wind and energy efficiency CDM activities, and the
higher investment needs for small hydro, PV, wind, LFG, and methane avoidance since their abatement costs are high. Economies
of time existed for small hydro, LFG, methane avoidance, and energy efficiency, and there was an effect of technology development
on wind, methane avoidance, and biomass. There was a correlation between abatement cost and the share of CDM activities for
methane avoidance, small hydro, and PV CDM projects. A cost-effective mitigation strategy would be to proceed with projects that
have higher mitigation potential at the same marginal abatement cost. Thus, at a marginal cost of $10-20/tCO2, the effective strategy
would be to proceed with LFG, energy efficiency, methane avoidance, small hydro, wind, biomass, fuel switch, and PV. At a cost
of over $30/tCO2, proceeding with LFG, wind, biomass, small hydro, fuel switching, and PV would be cost-effective.
GHG Emission Abatement Cost, Economies Of Scale, Economies Of Time, Certified Emission Reduction, Clean Development Mechanism, Investment Analysis
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2093-5919
2586-2782
2021-10